Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on offensive-zone draws (77% H2H, 22 meetings). Benn wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 52.9% vs Gourde 48.2% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Benn leads 34-15 in 49 meetings
Offensive zone
Benn 94.0%
Defensive zone
Benn 67.4%
Neutral zone
Benn 83.1%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 83.8%
83.8%
16.2%
Benn
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
34
-
15
(49 meetings)
34
15
Benn
Gourde
Last 10: Benn 7-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
17
5
Benn
Gourde
22 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Benn
7
6
Benn
Gourde
13 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
10
4
Benn
Gourde
14 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
53.5% (6,450)
48.4% (4,954)
+5.1%
Power Play
52.5% (2,054)
57.4% (376)
-4.9%
Penalty Kill
49.3% (515)
39.9% (554)
+9.4%
On penalty kill, Benn has a +9.4% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Benn is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (5,269).
Benn shoots left. Gourde is 49.0% vs left-shot opponents (3,946).
Home / Away
Benn
Gourde
Home
54.9% (4,547)
49.3% (2,915)
Away
51.0% (4,488)
47.2% (2,969)
By Period
Benn
Gourde
P1
51.9%
49.9%
P2
52.6%
47.4%
P3
54.0%
47.5%
OT
62.4%
37.0%
Final 5 min
53.6%
48.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
53.0%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
48.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | 2 | 16:39 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 3 | 16:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:44 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 13, 2024 | 2 | 18:22 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 3 | 02:41 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 30, 2024 | 1 | 07:21 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 18, 2023 | OT | 01:56 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Dec 18, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 21, 2023 | 3 | 10:20 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:53 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 10:45 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 13, 2023 | 1 | 07:41 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:01 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 08:24 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 2 | 01:54 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 18:57 | Defensive | Jamie Benn |
| Mar 11, 2023 | 1 | 02:23 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |