Scouting Report
Jamie Benn holds a +5.7% FO% edge overall. Look for Benn on neutral-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Benn wins 58.4% vs left-shot opponents — Gourde shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Benn 54.7% vs Gourde 49.5% (+5.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Benn 80.2%
Defensive zone
Benn 56.1%
Neutral zone
Benn 55.7%
Result
Jamie Benn favored at 64.9%
64.9%
35.1%
Benn
Gourde
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
3
(8 meetings)
5
3
Benn
Gourde
Last 8: Benn 5-3 Gourde
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Benn
2
1
Benn
Gourde
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Gourde
0
1
Benn
Gourde
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Benn
3
1
Benn
Gourde
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Benn
Gourde
Edge
Even Strength
55.3% (709)
49.1% (731)
+6.2%
Power Play
58.3% (127)
54.3% (81)
+4.0%
Penalty Kill
47.3% (55)
48.2% (85)
-0.9%
On even strength, Benn has a +6.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Gourde shoots left. Benn is 58.4% vs left-shot opponents (543).
Benn shoots left. Gourde is 48.4% vs left-shot opponents (556).
Home / Away
Benn
Gourde
Home
56.2% (443)
50.9% (479)
Away
54.2% (448)
47.8% (418)
By Period
Benn
Gourde
P1
55.4%
51.2%
P2
54.1%
49.8%
P3
55.6%
47.5%
OT
71.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
58.9%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Benn
48.0%▼
52.5%
55.2%
Gourde
54.0%▲
46.0%
49.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 18:31 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 23, 2022 | 1 | 07:27 | Neutral | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:30 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 18:23 | Defensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 3 | 00:58 | Offensive | Jamie Benn |
| Apr 3, 2022 | 2 | 09:18 | Offensive | Yanni Gourde |
| Jan 12, 2022 | 2 | 18:37 | Neutral | Yanni Gourde |