Scouting Report
Auston Matthews holds a +5.9% FO% edge overall. Look for McCann on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Matthews 51.9% vs McCann 46.8% (+5.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Matthews 91.3%
Defensive zone
Matthews 68.5%
Neutral zone
Matthews 80.5%
Result
Auston Matthews favored at 80.2%
80.2%
19.8%
Matthews
McCann
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Matthews
McCann
Last 7: Matthews 5-2 McCann
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
McCann
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Matthews
2
0
Matthews
McCann
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
1
2
Matthews
McCann
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Matthews
McCann
Edge
Even Strength
52.4% (892)
46.0% (531)
+6.4%
Power Play
45.5% (11)
46.4% (28)
-0.9%
Penalty Kill
37.5% (8)
50.0% (36)
-12.5%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +12.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
McCann shoots left. Matthews is 52.0% vs left-shot opponents (606).
Matthews shoots left. McCann is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (397).
Home / Away
Matthews
McCann
Home
54.3% (420)
46.0% (263)
Away
50.3% (491)
46.4% (332)
By Period
Matthews
McCann
P1
54.2%
48.9%
P2
54.3%
45.0%
P3
47.8%
44.7%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
55.8%
43.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Matthews
70.0%▲
64.0%
52.1%
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
46.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2019 | 2 | 09:20 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 15, 2018 | OT | 00:27 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 10:39 | Defensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 10:24 | Neutral | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 09:15 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 3 | 00:31 | Offensive | Auston Matthews |
| Dec 15, 2018 | 2 | 06:52 | Neutral | Jared McCann |