Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +8.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). McCann wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Dowd 53.3% (-8.2%)
H2H factor
Dowd leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 94.7%
Defensive zone
McCann 50.3%
Neutral zone
McCann 74.2%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 69.3%
69.3%
30.7%
McCann
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
McCann
Dowd
Last 10: McCann 3-7 Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
2
0
McCann
Dowd
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
4
McCann
Dowd
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dowd
1
4
McCann
Dowd
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (428)
55.4% (771)
-9.4%
Power Play
39.3% (56)
57.1% (7)
-17.8%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
45.5% (165)
+17.0%
On power play, Dowd has a +17.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. McCann is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (187).
McCann shoots left. Dowd is 53.9% vs left-shot opponents (621).
Home / Away
McCann
Dowd
Home
45.1% (244)
58.2% (462)
Away
46.0% (248)
49.3% (481)
By Period
McCann
Dowd
P1
42.5%
55.6%
P2
45.9%
50.5%
P3
47.8%
53.9%
OT
40.0%
75.0%
Final 5 min
48.5%
53.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.5%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
53.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2022 | 3 | 14:46 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 2 | 11:48 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 14:20 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 11:30 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 5, 2022 | 1 | 05:36 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 03:31 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 3 | 03:09 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 2 | 04:43 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 07:32 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Nov 21, 2021 | 1 | 03:34 | Neutral | Nic Dowd |