Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +17.5% FO% edge overall. McCann wins 27.3% vs right-shot opponents — Dowd shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 42.7% vs Dowd 50.7% (-17.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 92.4%
Defensive zone
Dowd 92.2%
Neutral zone
McCann 50.6%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 92.2%
7.8%
92.2%
McCann
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
McCann
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
1
McCann
Dowd
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (40)
55.2% (625)
-17.7%
Power Play
29.7% (37)
57.1% (7)
-27.4%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
38.2% (220)
-38.2%
On penalty kill, Dowd has a +38.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. McCann is 27.3% vs right-shot opponents (33).
McCann shoots left. Dowd is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
McCann
Dowd
Home
34.0% (47)
53.7% (445)
Away
32.3% (31)
47.7% (407)
By Period
McCann
Dowd
P1
38.1%
48.8%
P2
30.0%
49.3%
P3
30.8%
54.0%
OT
100.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
37.5%
49.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
33.3%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
50.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 1, 2022 | 2 | 17:24 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |