Scouting Report
Nic Dowd holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Dowd on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.2% vs Dowd 49.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 90.1%
Defensive zone
Dowd 79.4%
Neutral zone
McCann 55.4%
Result
Nic Dowd favored at 62.1%
37.9%
62.1%
McCann
Dowd
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
McCann
Dowd
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Dowd
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dowd
0
3
McCann
Dowd
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Dowd
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (188)
52.2% (835)
-3.8%
Power Play
33.3% (15)
60.0% (10)
-26.7%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
44.0% (350)
-12.3%
On power play, Dowd has a +26.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Dowd shoots right. McCann is 47.4% vs right-shot opponents (76).
McCann shoots left. Dowd is 50.7% vs left-shot opponents (833).
Home / Away
McCann
Dowd
Home
52.8% (125)
51.5% (619)
Away
36.1% (119)
48.1% (576)
By Period
McCann
Dowd
P1
37.7%
51.7%
P2
50.5%
51.6%
P3
45.2%
47.0%
OT
0.0%
22.2%
Final 5 min
43.5%
48.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
44.7%
Dowd
50.0%▲
48.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 9, 2025 | 3 | 03:23 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Mar 9, 2025 | 1 | 08:10 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 19:46 | Defensive | Nic Dowd |
| Jan 23, 2025 | 2 | 09:06 | Offensive | Jared McCann |