Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +4.4% FO% edge overall. McCann wins 43.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.3% vs Thomas 49.9% (-4.4%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 61.1%
Defensive zone
McCann 54.8%
Neutral zone
McCann 58.1%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 58.8%
58.8%
41.2%
McCann
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
3
(4 meetings)
1
3
McCann
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
McCann
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
McCann
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (428)
49.0% (910)
-3.0%
Power Play
39.3% (56)
53.5% (142)
-14.2%
Penalty Kill
62.5% (8)
53.3% (75)
+9.2%
On power play, Thomas has a +14.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McCann is 43.3% vs right-shot opponents (187).
McCann shoots left. Thomas is 48.2% vs left-shot opponents (764).
Home / Away
McCann
Thomas
Home
45.1% (244)
47.3% (514)
Away
46.0% (248)
52.0% (613)
By Period
McCann
Thomas
P1
42.5%
50.4%
P2
45.9%
47.5%
P3
47.8%
51.4%
OT
40.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
48.5%
50.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
45.5%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
49.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |