Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +19.6% FO% edge overall. McCann wins 27.3% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 42.7% vs Thomas 52.7% (-19.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 65.6%
Defensive zone
Thomas 69.1%
Neutral zone
Thomas 50.7%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 54.0%
54.0%
46.0%
McCann
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
McCann
Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
1
1
McCann
Thomas
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
McCann
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
37.5% (40)
53.6% (924)
-16.1%
Power Play
29.7% (37)
55.2% (181)
-25.5%
Penalty Kill
0.0% (1)
44.0% (116)
-44.0%
On penalty kill, Thomas has a +44.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McCann is 27.3% vs right-shot opponents (33).
McCann shoots left. Thomas is 50.3% vs left-shot opponents (869).
Home / Away
McCann
Thomas
Home
34.0% (47)
53.6% (606)
Away
32.3% (31)
52.2% (615)
By Period
McCann
Thomas
P1
38.1%
48.2%
P2
30.0%
55.3%
P3
30.8%
55.2%
OT
100.0%
47.1%
Final 5 min
37.5%
55.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
33.3%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
52.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 1 | 08:41 | Offensive | Jared McCann |