Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +5.2% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). McCann wins 41.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 48.4% vs Thomas 52.9% (-5.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 66.8%
Defensive zone
McCann 65.3%
Neutral zone
McCann 63.2%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 65.8%
65.8%
34.2%
McCann
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
4
(5 meetings)
1
4
McCann
Thomas
Last 5: McCann 1-4 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
1
2
McCann
Thomas
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
McCann
Thomas
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
1
McCann
Thomas
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (260)
53.2% (1,166)
-4.4%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
56.9% (262)
-19.9%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
48.4% (221)
+1.6%
On power play, Thomas has a +19.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McCann is 41.4% vs right-shot opponents (111).
McCann shoots left. Thomas is 51.3% vs left-shot opponents (1,162).
Home / Away
McCann
Thomas
Home
51.0% (143)
51.6% (830)
Away
45.1% (164)
54.7% (819)
By Period
McCann
Thomas
P1
53.6%
52.7%
P2
52.0%
55.6%
P3
37.6%
50.6%
OT
0.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
41.7%
56.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.9%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
53.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |