Scouting Report
Robert Thomas holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Thomas on offensive-zone draws (64% H2H, 11 meetings). McCann wins 42.4% vs right-shot opponents — Thomas shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Thomas 51.6% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Thomas leads 11-8 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 57.4%
Defensive zone
McCann 59.7%
Neutral zone
McCann 60.5%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 58.5%
58.5%
41.5%
McCann
Thomas
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
11
(19 meetings)
8
11
McCann
Thomas
Last 10: McCann 2-8 Thomas
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Thomas
4
7
McCann
Thomas
11 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
4
2
McCann
Thomas
6 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Thomas
0
2
McCann
Thomas
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Thomas
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
51.1% (5,350)
-8.0%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
55.8% (921)
-15.8%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
49.9% (691)
-7.7%
On power play, Thomas has a +15.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Thomas shoots right. McCann is 42.4% vs right-shot opponents (1,310).
McCann shoots left. Thomas is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (4,919).
Home / Away
McCann
Thomas
Home
43.1% (1,758)
50.9% (3,458)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
52.3% (3,504)
By Period
McCann
Thomas
P1
44.4%
50.6%
P2
41.7%
52.9%
P3
42.7%
50.8%
OT
36.4%
59.2%
Final 5 min
41.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Thomas
42.0%▼
47.0%
51.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2024 | 3 | 14:41 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Apr 14, 2024 | 1 | 10:42 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 10:28 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 26, 2024 | 3 | 01:27 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 14, 2023 | 3 | 18:57 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 3 | 08:27 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Dec 20, 2022 | 2 | 11:23 | Defensive | Robert Thomas |
| Oct 19, 2022 | 1 | 08:41 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 13:32 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 21, 2022 | 1 | 05:54 | Neutral | Robert Thomas |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 11:22 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 13, 2022 | 3 | 07:37 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Nov 30, 2019 | 2 | 07:47 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 13:49 | Offensive | Robert Thomas |
| Mar 16, 2019 | 3 | 13:44 | Defensive | Jared McCann |