Jared McCann vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.1% vs 46.6%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 49.6% vs Nugent-Hopkins 47.7% (+0.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 64.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 64.0%
Neutral zone
McCann 54.6%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 64.5%
64.5%
35.5%
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
40.0% (15)
47.6% (189)
-7.6%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
100.0% (2)
+0.0%
On even strength, Nugent-Hopkins has a +7.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. McCann is 50.0% vs left-shot opponents (10).
McCann shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.0% vs left-shot opponents (132).
Home / Away
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
50.0% (12)
48.5% (132)
Away
40.0% (5)
43.4% (76)
By Period
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
44.4%
51.4%
P2
33.3%
41.3%
P3
75.0%
48.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▲
44.0%
47.1%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
46.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jared McCann |