Jared McCann vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (89% H2H, 9 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 44.8% (-1.9%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 16-9 in 25 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 71.1%
Defensive zone
McCann 71.0%
Neutral zone
McCann 71.9%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 71.4%
71.4%
28.6%
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
16
(25 meetings)
9
16
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: McCann 5-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
12 total
Defensive Zone
Even
2
2
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
1
8
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
9 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
44.9% (8,756)
-1.8%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
50.7% (839)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
37.9% (879)
+4.3%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
McCann shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 44.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,841).
Home / Away
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
43.1% (1,758)
46.5% (5,350)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
42.9% (5,136)
By Period
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
44.4%
45.1%
P2
41.7%
43.9%
P3
42.7%
45.3%
OT
36.4%
43.5%
Final 5 min
41.5%
43.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
44.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:25 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Nov 2, 2019 | 1 | 14:27 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 11:15 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |