Jared McCann vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jared McCann holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 50.0% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.6% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
McCann 56.8%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 70.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 57.1%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 56.8%
56.8%
43.2%
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
0
(1 meetings)
1
0
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (18)
47.6% (231)
-3.2%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
83.3% (12)
+16.7%
On power play, McCann has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. McCann is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (13).
McCann shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.4% vs left-shot opponents (168).
Home / Away
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
53.8% (13)
51.2% (164)
Away
42.9% (7)
43.0% (100)
By Period
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
50.0%
50.0%
P2
33.3%
46.2%
P3
75.0%
49.5%
OT
0.0%
0.0%
Final 5 min
50.0%
44.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
50.0%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 29, 2025 | 1 | 17:27 | Offensive | Jared McCann |