Jared McCann vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins holds a +3.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on offensive-zone draws (57% H2H, 7 meetings). McCann wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.2% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.7% (-3.8%)
H2H factor
Nugent-Hopkins leads 5-5 in 10 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 56.7%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.9%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 52.8%
52.8%
47.2%
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
5
(10 meetings)
5
5
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 10: McCann 5-5 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
3
4
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
7 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: McCann
2
0
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (188)
50.3% (479)
-1.9%
Power Play
33.3% (15)
50.0% (28)
-16.7%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
30.0% (50)
+1.7%
On power play, Nugent-Hopkins has a +16.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. McCann is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (168).
McCann shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 47.4% vs left-shot opponents (384).
Home / Away
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
52.8% (125)
48.9% (270)
Away
36.1% (119)
48.1% (287)
By Period
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
37.7%
48.7%
P2
50.5%
50.0%
P3
45.2%
47.3%
OT
0.0%
36.4%
Final 5 min
43.5%
43.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
44.7%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 27, 2025 | 3 | 08:16 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 18:14 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 2 | 07:03 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 01:47 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 27, 2025 | 1 | 01:26 | Defensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 13:13 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 3 | 12:53 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 12:38 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Mar 22, 2025 | 1 | 09:05 | Offensive | Jared McCann |