Jared McCann vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (47.9% vs 48.0%).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 48.4% vs Nugent-Hopkins 48.3% (-0.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 54.5%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 66.2%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 56.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 55.4%
44.6%
55.4%
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
0
(2 meetings)
2
0
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: McCann
1
0
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
48.8% (260)
51.0% (408)
-2.2%
Power Play
37.0% (27)
0.0% (6)
+37.0%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (20)
35.9% (78)
+14.1%
On power play, McCann has a +37.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. McCann is 51.5% vs left-shot opponents (196).
McCann shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 49.9% vs left-shot opponents (339).
Home / Away
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
51.0% (143)
50.8% (258)
Away
45.1% (164)
44.9% (234)
By Period
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
53.6%
51.6%
P2
52.0%
45.2%
P3
37.6%
47.6%
OT
0.0%
40.0%
Final 5 min
41.7%
47.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
47.9%
Nugent-Hopkins
58.0%▲
50.0%
48.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2024 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Nov 11, 2023 | 3 | 02:25 | Neutral | Jared McCann |