Jared McCann vs Ryan Nugent-Hopkins
2018-19 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jared McCann holds a +1.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Nugent-Hopkins on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McCann wins 45.1% vs left-shot opponents — Nugent-Hopkins shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.8% vs Nugent-Hopkins 45.6% (+1.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 59.1%
Defensive zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.0%
Neutral zone
Nugent-Hopkins 58.3%
Result
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
8
(8 meetings)
0
8
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Last 8: McCann 0-8 Nugent-Hopkins
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
2
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
1
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Nugent-Hopkins
0
5
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
5 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Edge
Even Strength
46.0% (531)
46.5% (690)
-0.5%
Power Play
46.4% (28)
41.7% (12)
+4.7%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (36)
38.4% (138)
+11.6%
On penalty kill, McCann has a +11.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Nugent-Hopkins shoots left. McCann is 45.1% vs left-shot opponents (397).
McCann shoots left. Nugent-Hopkins is 45.5% vs left-shot opponents (510).
Home / Away
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
Home
46.0% (263)
47.7% (405)
Away
46.4% (332)
42.8% (435)
By Period
McCann
Nugent-Hopkins
P1
48.9%
49.4%
P2
45.0%
43.0%
P3
44.7%
43.7%
OT
50.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
43.4%
43.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▲
44.0%
46.2%
Nugent-Hopkins
48.0%▲
46.5%
45.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2019 | 2 | 10:06 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 1 | 18:58 | Offensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Feb 13, 2019 | 1 | 12:37 | Defensive | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 11:15 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 2 | 04:28 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 19:25 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 16:12 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |
| Jan 10, 2019 | 1 | 10:43 | Neutral | Ryan Nugent-Hopkins |