Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.4% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Hertl 54.2% (-11.4%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 53.4%
Defensive zone
McCann 50.8%
Neutral zone
McCann 52.5%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
McCann
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
McCann
Hertl
Last 10: McCann 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
6
2
McCann
Hertl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
5
McCann
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McCann
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,178)
53.8% (8,268)
-10.7%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
59.3% (1,975)
-19.3%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
46.3% (806)
-4.1%
On power play, Hertl has a +19.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,303).
McCann shoots left. Hertl is 52.7% vs left-shot opponents (6,916).
Home / Away
McCann
Hertl
Home
43.1% (1,758)
55.7% (5,344)
Away
42.5% (1,855)
52.8% (5,705)
By Period
McCann
Hertl
P1
44.4%
53.6%
P2
41.7%
54.1%
P3
42.7%
55.3%
OT
36.4%
46.5%
Final 5 min
41.5%
54.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
42.8%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
54.2%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:35 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:51 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |