Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on defensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). McCann wins 43.0% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 43.0% vs Hertl 54.1% (-11.3%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 9-8 in 17 meetings
Offensive zone
McCann 52.7%
Defensive zone
McCann 51.1%
Neutral zone
McCann 52.6%
Result
Jared McCann favored at 52.2%
52.2%
47.8%
McCann
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
8
-
9
(17 meetings)
8
9
McCann
Hertl
Last 10: McCann 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
6
2
McCann
Hertl
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
5
McCann
Hertl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Even
2
2
McCann
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
43.1% (3,175)
53.6% (8,077)
-10.5%
Power Play
40.0% (260)
59.7% (1,916)
-19.7%
Penalty Kill
42.2% (173)
46.0% (793)
-3.8%
On power play, Hertl has a +19.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. McCann is 43.0% vs left-shot opponents (2,300).
McCann shoots left. Hertl is 52.6% vs left-shot opponents (6,755).
Home / Away
McCann
Hertl
Home
43.0% (1,757)
55.6% (5,217)
Away
42.5% (1,853)
52.7% (5,569)
By Period
McCann
Hertl
P1
44.3%
53.6%
P2
41.7%
53.9%
P3
42.7%
55.1%
OT
36.4%
46.8%
Final 5 min
41.5%
54.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▲
44.0%
42.8%
Hertl
58.0%▬
58.5%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 03:35 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 20, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 06:43 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 01:04 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 3 | 00:51 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 19:29 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Dec 14, 2021 | 2 | 06:57 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 17:03 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 12:25 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 2 | 07:20 | Offensive | Jared McCann |
| Jan 2, 2020 | 1 | 02:48 | Neutral | Jared McCann |
| Dec 1, 2017 | 2 | 10:04 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Mar 3, 2016 | 1 | 15:56 | Defensive | Tomas Hertl |