Jared McCann vs Tomas Hertl

2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

Tomas Hertl holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) McCann 50.0% vs Hertl 57.2% (-7.8%)
Offensive zone Hertl 62.1%
Defensive zone Hertl 56.9%
Neutral zone Hertl 57.2%
Result Tomas Hertl favored at 58.8%
41.2%
58.8%
McCann Hertl
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded

Situation Matchup

Situation
McCann
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
44.4% (18)
58.1% (823)
-13.7%
Power Play
100.0% (2)
56.2% (265)
+43.8%
On power play, McCann has a +43.8% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Hertl shoots left. McCann is 53.8% vs left-shot opponents (13).
McCann shoots left. Hertl is 56.7% vs left-shot opponents (690).
Home / Away
McCann
Hertl
Home
53.8% (13)
59.7% (561)
Away
42.9% (7)
55.9% (562)
By Period
McCann
Hertl
P1
50.0%
51.6%
P2
33.3%
63.8%
P3
75.0%
58.6%
OT
0.0%
28.6%
Final 5 min
50.0%
58.2%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%
45.0%
50.0%
Hertl
56.0%
60.0%
57.8%