Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +11.2% FO% edge overall. McCann wins 43.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hertl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
McCann 46.2% vs Hertl 55.4% (-11.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Hertl 82.3%
Defensive zone
Hertl 55.9%
Neutral zone
Hertl 71.4%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 73.5%
26.5%
73.5%
McCann
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
1
(3 meetings)
2
1
McCann
Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: McCann
2
0
McCann
Hertl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
0
1
McCann
Hertl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
McCann
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
48.4% (188)
54.1% (717)
-5.7%
Power Play
33.3% (15)
61.9% (210)
-28.6%
Penalty Kill
31.7% (41)
58.1% (31)
-26.4%
On power play, Hertl has a +28.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. McCann is 43.5% vs left-shot opponents (168).
McCann shoots left. Hertl is 55.5% vs left-shot opponents (596).
Home / Away
McCann
Hertl
Home
52.8% (125)
58.1% (492)
Away
36.1% (119)
53.6% (466)
By Period
McCann
Hertl
P1
37.7%
57.1%
P2
50.5%
54.0%
P3
45.2%
56.6%
OT
0.0%
66.7%
Final 5 min
43.5%
53.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
McCann
46.0%▬
45.0%
44.7%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
55.9%