Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +18.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 4 meetings). Dickinson wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 44.5% vs Tavares 59.8% (-18.0%)
H2H factor
Tavares leads 10-1 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Dickinson 75.2%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 80.7%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 85.9%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 80.6%
80.6%
19.4%
Dickinson
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
10
(11 meetings)
1
10
Dickinson
Tavares
Last 10: Dickinson 1-9 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
3
Dickinson
Tavares
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
3
Dickinson
Tavares
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
4
Dickinson
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (255)
60.9% (1,043)
-16.6%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
60.4% (278)
-27.1%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
47.6% (21)
-19.6%
On power play, Tavares has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Dickinson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Dickinson shoots left. Tavares is 62.7% vs left-shot opponents (831).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Tavares
Home
38.8% (129)
63.5% (684)
Away
45.6% (160)
57.6% (658)
By Period
Dickinson
Tavares
P1
49.4%
60.3%
P2
45.1%
60.4%
P3
34.7%
60.1%
OT
0.0%
92.3%
Final 5 min
40.3%
57.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
42.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
60.6%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 13:05 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 12:44 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:21 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 09:14 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 18:46 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 13:21 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 06:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:07 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Feb 12, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |