Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +10.6% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 48.0% vs Tavares 57.7% (-10.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 57.9%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 86.6%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 70.2%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 56.2%
56.2%
43.8%
Dickinson
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Dickinson
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Dickinson
Tavares
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
1
Dickinson
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (626)
57.5% (914)
-8.9%
Power Play
44.0% (25)
60.5% (309)
-16.5%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (120)
59.1% (22)
-14.9%
On power play, Tavares has a +16.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Dickinson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Dickinson shoots left. Tavares is 61.6% vs left-shot opponents (774).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Tavares
Home
45.4% (368)
61.0% (661)
Away
49.9% (403)
55.3% (584)
By Period
Dickinson
Tavares
P1
49.2%
58.6%
P2
46.3%
57.8%
P3
48.1%
58.4%
OT
44.4%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.6%
63.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | John Tavares |
| Feb 15, 2023 | 2 | 05:38 | Offensive | John Tavares |