Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +8.8% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Tavares 57.7% (-8.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 76.3%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 80.1%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 51.4%
Result
John Tavares favored at 57.5%
42.5%
57.5%
Dickinson
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Dickinson
Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
2
Dickinson
Tavares
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
57.7% (998)
-6.2%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
60.5% (271)
-6.0%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
56.4% (39)
-14.0%
On penalty kill, Tavares has a +14.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Dickinson is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Dickinson shoots left. Tavares is 59.5% vs left-shot opponents (818).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Tavares
Home
53.6% (489)
59.7% (610)
Away
44.7% (427)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Dickinson
Tavares
P1
47.7%
57.2%
P2
52.1%
58.5%
P3
47.8%
59.4%
OT
83.3%
46.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 12:35 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 3 | 12:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 2, 2024 | 1 | 02:06 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |