Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 50.0% vs Tavares 58.7% (-9.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Tavares 71.0%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 84.2%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 60.9%
Result
John Tavares favored at 53.2%
46.8%
53.2%
Dickinson
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
5
(8 meetings)
3
5
Dickinson
Tavares
Last 8: Dickinson 3-5 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
0
5
Dickinson
Tavares
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
2
0
Dickinson
Tavares
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Tavares
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (912)
59.2% (1,035)
-8.0%
Power Play
63.8% (58)
60.0% (310)
+3.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (266)
42.9% (7)
+0.0%
On even strength, Tavares has a +8.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Dickinson is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Dickinson shoots left. Tavares is 61.3% vs left-shot opponents (865).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Tavares
Home
52.9% (664)
57.5% (668)
Away
46.7% (572)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Dickinson
Tavares
P1
49.0%
58.0%
P2
48.3%
60.1%
P3
52.5%
61.0%
OT
61.5%
27.8%
Final 5 min
56.7%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.0%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2023 | 1 | 10:50 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 19:09 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 17:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 16:02 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 3 | 11:52 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 04:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 2 | 04:40 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Oct 16, 2023 | 1 | 13:48 | Offensive | John Tavares |