Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +1.7% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 48.0% vs Hayes 49.5% (-1.7%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 71.4%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 74.8%
Neutral zone
Hayes 54.0%
Result
Kevin Hayes favored at 50.2%
49.8%
50.2%
Dickinson
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (626)
48.5% (557)
+0.1%
Power Play
44.0% (25)
53.3% (107)
-9.3%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (120)
58.3% (12)
-14.1%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +14.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Dickinson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Dickinson shoots left. Hayes is 49.2% vs left-shot opponents (439).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Hayes
Home
45.4% (368)
50.8% (313)
Away
49.9% (403)
48.2% (363)
By Period
Dickinson
Hayes
P1
49.2%
52.3%
P2
46.3%
47.7%
P3
48.1%
48.4%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
47.7%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
49.4%