Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +7.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Hayes on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 50.0% vs Hayes 56.3% (-7.0%)
H2H factor
Hayes leads 11-4 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Dickinson 68.2%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 77.4%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 65.5%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 70.0%
70.0%
30.0%
Dickinson
Hayes
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
11
(15 meetings)
4
11
Dickinson
Hayes
Last 10: Dickinson 2-8 Hayes
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
2
Dickinson
Hayes
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Hayes
2
3
Dickinson
Hayes
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Hayes
1
6
Dickinson
Hayes
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (912)
56.6% (724)
-5.4%
Power Play
63.8% (58)
57.0% (79)
+6.8%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (266)
65.7% (35)
-22.8%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +22.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Dickinson is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Dickinson shoots left. Hayes is 57.9% vs left-shot opponents (587).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Hayes
Home
52.9% (664)
58.0% (405)
Away
46.7% (572)
56.1% (433)
By Period
Dickinson
Hayes
P1
49.0%
54.7%
P2
48.3%
55.7%
P3
52.5%
60.2%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
58.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
54.0%▬
54.5%
50.0%
Hayes
32.0%▼
44.5%
57.0%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 19:14 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 18:59 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 10:13 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 05:16 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 3 | 00:23 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 15:54 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 2 | 00:20 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 03:57 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 23, 2023 | 1 | 03:49 | Neutral | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 3 | 03:08 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 07:52 | Offensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 2 | 04:02 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 01:59 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 9, 2023 | 1 | 00:36 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 26, 2023 | 3 | 17:24 | Defensive | Kevin Hayes |