Scouting Report
Kevin Hayes holds a +2.6% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.3% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.5% vs Hayes 51.7% (-2.6%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 70.3%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 79.4%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 50.0%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 53.0%
53.0%
47.0%
Dickinson
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.5% (695)
51.6% (386)
-0.1%
Power Play
54.5% (11)
53.2% (47)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
42.4% (210)
60.0% (20)
-17.6%
On penalty kill, Hayes has a +17.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Dickinson is 46.3% vs left-shot opponents (635).
Dickinson shoots left. Hayes is 49.7% vs left-shot opponents (300).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Hayes
Home
53.6% (489)
50.5% (200)
Away
44.7% (427)
53.4% (253)
By Period
Dickinson
Hayes
P1
47.7%
58.8%
P2
52.1%
49.3%
P3
47.8%
48.0%
OT
83.3%
66.7%
Final 5 min
50.0%
56.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
52.1%