Scouting Report
Jason Dickinson holds a +13.7% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 46.5% vs left-shot opponents — Hayes shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 49.6% vs Hayes 42.7% (+13.7%)
Offensive zone
Hayes 67.0%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 87.3%
Neutral zone
Hayes 51.3%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 56.3%
56.3%
43.7%
Dickinson
Hayes
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Hayes
Edge
Even Strength
51.8% (643)
31.9% (91)
+19.9%
Power Play
66.7% (9)
64.3% (14)
+2.4%
Penalty Kill
38.7% (150)
0.0% (1)
+38.7%
On penalty kill, Dickinson has a +38.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hayes shoots left. Dickinson is 46.5% vs left-shot opponents (542).
Dickinson shoots left. Hayes is 39.7% vs left-shot opponents (58).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Hayes
Home
48.7% (419)
30.6% (49)
Away
50.4% (383)
40.4% (57)
By Period
Dickinson
Hayes
P1
42.6%
22.9%
P2
55.0%
40.0%
P3
50.0%
44.4%
Final 5 min
44.1%
30.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
49.5%
Hayes
30.0%▼
42.5%
35.8%