Scouting Report
Matt Duchene holds a +11.5% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — Duchene shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 44.5% vs Duchene 52.8% (-11.5%)
H2H factor
Not applied (1 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Duchene 74.8%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 77.8%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 53.9%
Result
Matt Duchene favored at 74.8%
25.2%
74.8%
Dickinson
Duchene
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
1
(1 meetings)
0
1
Dickinson
Duchene
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Duchene
0
1
Dickinson
Duchene
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Duchene
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (255)
46.9% (162)
-2.6%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
73.2% (56)
-39.9%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
100.0% (2)
-72.0%
On penalty kill, Duchene has a +72.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Duchene shoots left. Dickinson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Dickinson shoots left. Duchene is 50.4% vs left-shot opponents (115).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Duchene
Home
38.8% (129)
58.4% (125)
Away
45.6% (160)
48.4% (95)
By Period
Dickinson
Duchene
P1
49.4%
56.9%
P2
45.1%
52.5%
P3
34.7%
51.9%
OT
0.0%
80.0%
Final 5 min
40.3%
52.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
42.6%
Duchene
44.0%▼
52.0%
54.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2022 | 3 | 17:50 | Offensive | Matt Duchene |