Jason Dickinson vs Nathan MacKinnon
2019-20 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
These two are closely matched in overall FO% (43.8% vs 43.1%). Look for MacKinnon on offensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 45.3% vs right-shot opponents — MacKinnon shoots right.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 45.0% vs MacKinnon 43.8% (+0.7%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
MacKinnon 59.1%
Defensive zone
MacKinnon 58.5%
Neutral zone
MacKinnon 57.9%
Result
Nathan MacKinnon favored at 58.5%
41.5%
58.5%
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
4
(6 meetings)
2
4
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Last 6: Dickinson 2-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Dickinson
MacKinnon
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: MacKinnon
1
2
Dickinson
MacKinnon
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
45.5% (404)
44.4% (743)
+1.1%
Power Play
25.0% (12)
35.7% (70)
-10.7%
Penalty Kill
29.0% (31)
25.9% (27)
+3.1%
On power play, MacKinnon has a +10.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Dickinson is 45.3% vs right-shot opponents (192).
Dickinson shoots left. MacKinnon is 43.7% vs left-shot opponents (646).
Home / Away
Dickinson
MacKinnon
Home
50.2% (219)
46.4% (394)
Away
37.7% (228)
40.1% (446)
By Period
Dickinson
MacKinnon
P1
45.0%
44.4%
P2
41.1%
38.2%
P3
45.0%
46.4%
OT
55.6%
50.0%
Final 5 min
38.9%
44.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
43.8%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
43.1%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 04:22 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Jan 14, 2020 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Dec 28, 2019 | 2 | 18:19 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 06:16 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 5, 2019 | 1 | 07:09 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |