Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +14.2% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 3 meetings). Dickinson wins 42.0% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 44.5% vs O'Reilly 56.4% (-14.2%)
H2H factor
Not applied (6 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Dickinson 75.1%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 77.0%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 78.1%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 76.9%
76.9%
23.1%
Dickinson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
5
(6 meetings)
1
5
Dickinson
O'Reilly
Last 6: Dickinson 1-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
2
Dickinson
O'Reilly
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
0
1
Dickinson
O'Reilly
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
1
2
Dickinson
O'Reilly
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
44.3% (255)
56.6% (1,064)
-12.3%
Power Play
33.3% (9)
60.4% (260)
-27.1%
Penalty Kill
28.0% (25)
54.0% (261)
-26.0%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +27.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dickinson is 42.0% vs left-shot opponents (193).
Dickinson shoots left. O'Reilly is 58.8% vs left-shot opponents (1,003).
Home / Away
Dickinson
O'Reilly
Home
38.8% (129)
54.9% (801)
Away
45.6% (160)
58.7% (784)
By Period
Dickinson
O'Reilly
P1
49.4%
58.0%
P2
45.1%
56.7%
P3
34.7%
55.4%
OT
0.0%
64.7%
Final 5 min
40.3%
56.4%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
42.6%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
56.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 23, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 2 | 06:23 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 2 | 02:27 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:30 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 19:14 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 23, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |