Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for O'Reilly on offensive-zone draws (85% H2H, 13 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 50.0% vs O'Reilly 53.7% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
O'Reilly leads 17-15 in 32 meetings
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 67.4%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 84.3%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 59.7%
Result
Jason Dickinson favored at 57.1%
57.1%
42.9%
Dickinson
O'Reilly
Head-to-Head Record
15
-
17
(32 meetings)
15
17
Dickinson
O'Reilly
Last 10: Dickinson 5-5 O'Reilly
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: O'Reilly
2
11
Dickinson
O'Reilly
13 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
9
2
Dickinson
O'Reilly
11 total
Neutral Zone
Even
4
4
Dickinson
O'Reilly
8 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (912)
55.0% (1,084)
-3.8%
Power Play
63.8% (58)
56.8% (303)
+7.0%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (266)
40.3% (149)
+2.6%
On power play, Dickinson has a +7.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dickinson is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Dickinson shoots left. O'Reilly is 54.0% vs left-shot opponents (981).
Home / Away
Dickinson
O'Reilly
Home
52.9% (664)
54.8% (759)
Away
46.7% (572)
53.0% (777)
By Period
Dickinson
O'Reilly
P1
49.0%
55.3%
P2
48.3%
51.9%
P3
52.5%
54.2%
OT
61.5%
64.7%
Final 5 min
56.7%
56.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.0%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
53.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 12, 2024 | 3 | 00:26 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 16:58 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:46 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 2 | 08:29 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 14:17 | Defensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 11:28 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Apr 12, 2024 | 1 | 00:33 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 3 | 14:53 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 2 | 17:10 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:39 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 14:18 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 11:11 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Jan 2, 2024 | 1 | 04:43 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 5, 2023 | OT | 01:41 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 5, 2023 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 14:44 | Offensive | Ryan O'Reilly |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 04:14 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 03:54 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 00:10 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Dec 5, 2023 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Ryan O'Reilly |