Scouting Report
Ryan O'Reilly holds a +8.1% FO% edge overall. Dickinson wins 45.7% vs left-shot opponents — O'Reilly shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 48.0% vs O'Reilly 55.2% (-8.1%)
Offensive zone
O'Reilly 56.7%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 50.7%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 50.2%
Result
Ryan O'Reilly favored at 51.9%
48.1%
51.9%
Dickinson
O'Reilly
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
O'Reilly
Edge
Even Strength
48.6% (626)
56.1% (690)
-7.5%
Power Play
44.0% (25)
64.6% (96)
-20.6%
Penalty Kill
44.2% (120)
45.9% (109)
-1.7%
On power play, O'Reilly has a +20.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
O'Reilly shoots left. Dickinson is 45.7% vs left-shot opponents (462).
Dickinson shoots left. O'Reilly is 55.4% vs left-shot opponents (603).
Home / Away
Dickinson
O'Reilly
Home
45.4% (368)
58.3% (408)
Away
49.9% (403)
53.6% (487)
By Period
Dickinson
O'Reilly
P1
49.2%
57.7%
P2
46.3%
54.8%
P3
48.1%
55.2%
OT
44.4%
45.5%
Final 5 min
50.6%
50.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
47.7%
O'Reilly
54.0%▼
55.5%
55.8%