Scouting Report
Tomas Hertl holds a +7.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Hertl on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Dickinson 50.0% vs Hertl 56.8% (-7.5%)
H2H factor
Hertl leads 8-7 in 15 meetings
Offensive zone
Hertl 62.5%
Defensive zone
Dickinson 75.1%
Neutral zone
Dickinson 59.0%
Result
Tomas Hertl favored at 54.2%
45.8%
54.2%
Dickinson
Hertl
Head-to-Head Record
7
-
8
(15 meetings)
7
8
Dickinson
Hertl
Last 10: Dickinson 4-6 Hertl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Hertl
2
8
Dickinson
Hertl
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Dickinson
1
0
Dickinson
Hertl
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Dickinson
4
0
Dickinson
Hertl
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Dickinson
Hertl
Edge
Even Strength
51.2% (912)
57.0% (718)
-5.8%
Power Play
63.8% (58)
64.9% (188)
-1.1%
Penalty Kill
42.9% (266)
44.2% (77)
-1.3%
On even strength, Hertl has a +5.8% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Hertl shoots left. Dickinson is 49.1% vs left-shot opponents (807).
Dickinson shoots left. Hertl is 54.7% vs left-shot opponents (631).
Home / Away
Dickinson
Hertl
Home
52.9% (664)
59.2% (463)
Away
46.7% (572)
56.0% (520)
By Period
Dickinson
Hertl
P1
49.0%
56.3%
P2
48.3%
55.4%
P3
52.5%
60.5%
OT
61.5%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.7%
56.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Dickinson
50.0%▲
47.5%
50.0%
Hertl
56.0%▼
60.0%
57.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:37 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Apr 16, 2024 | 2 | 07:15 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 16, 2024 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 12:57 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 05:52 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:56 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 14:43 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 12:50 | Defensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 01:28 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 11:46 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 05:59 | Offensive | Jason Dickinson |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 03:09 | Offensive | Tomas Hertl |
| Jan 16, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jason Dickinson |