Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.8% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Kotkaniemi 51.3% (+5.8%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 51.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 87.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 69.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 67.2%
67.2%
32.8%
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
Last 10: Pageau 4-6 Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
2
4
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
1
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
3
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
51.8% (637)
+7.0%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
48.2% (56)
+10.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
42.9% (7)
+5.7%
On power play, Pageau has a +10.0% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 48.7% vs right-shot opponents (228).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
Home
59.0% (595)
53.1% (339)
Away
55.7% (661)
49.9% (361)
By Period
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
P1
58.9%
48.3%
P2
57.9%
55.0%
P3
55.6%
50.4%
OT
44.4%
50.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
55.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 19:50 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 18:36 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 18:34 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 05:23 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Apr 2, 2023 | 2 | 05:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 04:58 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 04:34 | Defensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 11:34 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 19:52 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 14:37 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 14:29 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 08:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:06 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 15:12 | Neutral | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:08 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |