Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +7.8% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Kotkaniemi 51.5% (+7.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (3 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 60.4%
Defensive zone
Pageau 61.6%
Neutral zone
Kotkaniemi 50.1%
Result
Jesperi Kotkaniemi favored at 53.1%
46.9%
53.1%
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
Head-to-Head Record
1
-
2
(3 meetings)
1
2
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Kotkaniemi
0
2
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
52.8% (670)
+6.8%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
37.5% (32)
+26.5%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
14.3% (7)
+42.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +42.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 54.4% vs right-shot opponents (250).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
Home
59.3% (506)
52.5% (366)
Away
60.0% (482)
51.0% (343)
By Period
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
P1
56.8%
53.8%
P2
64.4%
49.2%
P3
56.9%
52.6%
Final 5 min
61.1%
51.3%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
51.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2025 | 1 | 16:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 15:50 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 05:15 | Offensive | Jesperi Kotkaniemi |