Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jesperi Kotkaniemi
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +11.8% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Kotkaniemi shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Kotkaniemi 48.6% (+11.8%)
Offensive zone
Kotkaniemi 67.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 77.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 64.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 58.2%
58.2%
41.8%
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
No head-to-head faceoffs recorded
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
47.3% (207)
+11.8%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
100.0% (3)
-30.6%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
33.3% (3)
+26.8%
On power play, Kotkaniemi has a +30.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Kotkaniemi shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Kotkaniemi is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (97).
Home / Away
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
Home
57.8% (377)
46.5% (129)
Away
61.0% (559)
50.0% (84)
By Period
Pageau
Kotkaniemi
P1
54.1%
51.3%
P2
62.1%
46.1%
P3
61.8%
45.9%
Final 5 min
63.1%
48.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Kotkaniemi
52.0%▲
49.0%
47.9%