Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs John Tavares
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
John Tavares holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Tavares 58.7% (-3.9%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 78.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 79.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 50.5%
Result
John Tavares favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Pageau
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
7
(16 meetings)
9
7
Pageau
Tavares
Last 10: Pageau 8-2 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
7
Pageau
Tavares
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau
Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau
Tavares
4 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
59.2% (1,035)
-2.1%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
60.0% (310)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
42.9% (7)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +5.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Pageau
Tavares
Home
57.0% (618)
57.5% (668)
Away
53.9% (607)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Pageau
Tavares
P1
54.4%
58.0%
P2
61.0%
60.1%
P3
51.0%
61.0%
OT
50.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
53.8%
60.7%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%▲
62.5%
55.4%
Tavares
52.0%▼
57.5%
59.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 5, 2024 | 3 | 18:56 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 3 | 18:40 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 3 | 14:20 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 3 | 10:35 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 2 | 01:46 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:50 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 2 | 00:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Feb 5, 2024 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 2 | 08:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 17:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 11, 2024 | 1 | 13:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 19:43 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 18:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 14:49 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 11, 2023 | 3 | 09:27 | Offensive | John Tavares |