Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs John Tavares

2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report

John Tavares holds a +3.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Tavares on offensive-zone draws (88% H2H, 8 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.

Prediction Breakdown
Model XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian) Pageau 55.0% vs Tavares 58.7% (-3.9%)
H2H factor Pageau leads 9-7 in 16 meetings
Offensive zone Tavares 78.6%
Defensive zone Pageau 79.9%
Neutral zone Pageau 50.5%
Result John Tavares favored at 56.7%
43.3%
56.7%
Pageau Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
9 - 7 (16 meetings)
9
7
Pageau Tavares
Last 10: Pageau 8-2 Tavares

Zone Breakdown

Offensive Zone
Edge: Tavares
1
7
Pageau Tavares
8 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau Tavares
4 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
0
Pageau Tavares
4 total

Situation Matchup

Situation
Pageau
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
59.2% (1,035)
-2.1%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
60.0% (310)
-4.8%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
42.9% (7)
+5.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +5.1% edge.

Handedness & Splits

Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Tavares is 55.9% vs right-shot opponents (487).
Home / Away
Pageau
Tavares
Home
57.0% (618)
57.5% (668)
Away
53.9% (607)
61.1% (684)
By Period
Pageau
Tavares
P1
54.4%
58.0%
P2
61.0%
60.1%
P3
51.0%
61.0%
OT
50.0%
27.8%
Final 5 min
53.8%
60.7%

Recent Form

Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
72.0%
62.5%
55.4%
Tavares
52.0%
57.5%
59.3%

Recent Faceoffs

Date Period Time Zone Winner
Feb 5, 2024 3 18:56 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 5, 2024 3 18:40 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 5, 2024 3 14:20 Offensive John Tavares
Feb 5, 2024 3 10:35 Offensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 5, 2024 3 00:00 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 5, 2024 2 01:46 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 5, 2024 2 00:50 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Feb 5, 2024 2 00:43 Offensive John Tavares
Feb 5, 2024 1 00:00 Neutral Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 11, 2024 2 08:17 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Jan 11, 2024 1 17:57 Offensive John Tavares
Jan 11, 2024 1 13:36 Defensive Jean-Gabriel Pageau
Dec 11, 2023 3 19:43 Offensive John Tavares
Dec 11, 2023 3 18:57 Offensive John Tavares
Dec 11, 2023 3 14:49 Offensive John Tavares
Dec 11, 2023 3 09:27 Offensive John Tavares