Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs John Tavares
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on defensive-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Tavares shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Tavares 57.7% (+1.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 10-8 in 18 meetings
Offensive zone
Tavares 51.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 65.4%
Neutral zone
Pageau 55.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Pageau
Tavares
Head-to-Head Record
10
-
8
(18 meetings)
10
8
Pageau
Tavares
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Tavares
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
6
6
Pageau
Tavares
12 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
2
Pageau
Tavares
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Tavares
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
57.7% (998)
+1.9%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
60.5% (271)
+3.5%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
56.4% (39)
+0.0%
On power play, Pageau has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Tavares shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Tavares is 56.1% vs right-shot opponents (490).
Home / Away
Pageau
Tavares
Home
59.3% (506)
59.7% (610)
Away
60.0% (482)
57.0% (698)
By Period
Pageau
Tavares
P1
56.8%
57.2%
P2
64.4%
58.5%
P3
56.9%
59.4%
OT
75.0%
46.7%
Final 5 min
61.1%
57.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Tavares
46.0%▼
54.5%
58.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 15:19 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 3 | 08:03 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 17:06 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Jan 2, 2025 | 1 | 12:00 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 19:17 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 14:57 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 13:35 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:48 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 3 | 00:29 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 16:47 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 15:22 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 06:56 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 2 | 06:47 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 16:58 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 16:51 | Defensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 31, 2024 | 1 | 08:31 | Offensive | John Tavares |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 16:02 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 21, 2024 | 2 | 13:07 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |