Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jordan Staal
2015-16 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +5.6% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 6 meetings). Pageau wins 55.7% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 52.0% vs Staal 57.3% (-5.6%)
H2H factor
Not applied (8 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Pageau 50.5%
Defensive zone
Pageau 58.5%
Neutral zone
Pageau 53.1%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 52.5%
52.5%
47.5%
Pageau
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
6
(8 meetings)
2
6
Pageau
Staal
Last 8: Pageau 2-6 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
6
Pageau
Staal
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
54.1% (882)
56.6% (1,075)
-2.5%
Power Play
45.0% (60)
66.7% (141)
-21.7%
Penalty Kill
46.8% (235)
58.1% (179)
-11.3%
On power play, Staal has a +21.7% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Pageau is 55.7% vs left-shot opponents (845).
Pageau shoots right. Staal is 60.1% vs right-shot opponents (449).
Home / Away
Pageau
Staal
Home
54.7% (592)
57.7% (735)
Away
49.6% (585)
57.9% (660)
By Period
Pageau
Staal
P1
51.0%
61.8%
P2
54.3%
55.7%
P3
51.8%
56.1%
OT
33.3%
56.8%
Final 5 min
47.4%
60.1%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
52.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.8%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2016 | OT | 04:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 18:31 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 14:42 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 08:56 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 2 | 08:48 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 8, 2016 | 1 | 07:11 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Feb 18, 2016 | 3 | 19:04 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 7, 2015 | 1 | 09:30 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |