Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jordan Staal
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.1% FO% edge overall. Look for Staal on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Staal 54.2% (+5.1%)
H2H factor
Not applied (4 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 73.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 78.4%
Neutral zone
Staal 73.0%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 74.5%
25.5%
74.5%
Pageau
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
4
(4 meetings)
0
4
Pageau
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
3
Pageau
Staal
3 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
1
Pageau
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
57.0% (1,017)
+2.6%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
57.7% (26)
+6.3%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
45.1% (286)
+11.3%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +11.3% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Staal is 58.1% vs right-shot opponents (341).
Home / Away
Pageau
Staal
Home
59.3% (506)
54.3% (667)
Away
60.0% (482)
54.7% (662)
By Period
Pageau
Staal
P1
56.8%
56.2%
P2
64.4%
57.0%
P3
56.9%
49.7%
OT
75.0%
68.4%
Final 5 min
61.1%
48.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.5%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | 1 | 03:48 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 10:47 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 3 | 00:52 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 7, 2024 | 1 | 08:01 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |