Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jordan Staal
2022-23 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 10 meetings). Pageau wins 57.2% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 56.7% vs Staal 55.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 12-7 in 19 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 56.6%
Defensive zone
Pageau 60.1%
Neutral zone
Pageau 61.6%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 58.4%
58.4%
41.6%
Pageau
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
7
(19 meetings)
12
7
Pageau
Staal
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
8
2
Pageau
Staal
10 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
3
Pageau
Staal
7 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Pageau
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
58.8% (889)
56.3% (1,115)
+2.5%
Power Play
58.2% (182)
61.2% (67)
-3.0%
Penalty Kill
48.6% (185)
52.1% (292)
-3.5%
On penalty kill, Staal has a +3.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Pageau is 57.2% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Staal is 60.2% vs right-shot opponents (528).
Home / Away
Pageau
Staal
Home
59.0% (595)
58.3% (705)
Away
55.7% (661)
53.3% (769)
By Period
Pageau
Staal
P1
58.9%
54.5%
P2
57.9%
58.2%
P3
55.6%
54.1%
OT
44.4%
60.0%
Final 5 min
56.0%
54.9%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
57.2%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
55.7%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 2, 2023 | 3 | 05:04 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:54 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:37 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:30 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 17:26 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 15:10 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 3 | 14:58 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 15:23 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:26 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 03:24 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Jan 21, 2023 | 1 | 07:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 2 | 02:00 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 07:16 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 06:47 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 10, 2022 | 1 | 06:02 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 3 | 17:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 28, 2022 | 1 | 12:29 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |