Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jordan Staal
2025-26 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +4.8% FO% edge overall. Pageau wins 60.5% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.8% vs Staal 54.6% (+4.8%)
H2H factor
Not applied (2 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 70.2%
Defensive zone
Staal 65.0%
Neutral zone
Staal 68.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 65.0%
35.0%
65.0%
Pageau
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
0
-
2
(2 meetings)
0
2
Pageau
Staal
Zone Breakdown
Defensive Zone
Edge: Staal
0
2
Pageau
Staal
2 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
59.1% (687)
56.1% (955)
+3.0%
Power Play
69.4% (36)
66.9% (142)
+2.5%
Penalty Kill
60.1% (213)
43.0% (242)
+17.1%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +17.1% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Pageau is 60.5% vs left-shot opponents (691).
Pageau shoots right. Staal is 65.3% vs right-shot opponents (401).
Home / Away
Pageau
Staal
Home
57.8% (377)
55.4% (663)
Away
61.0% (559)
54.4% (676)
By Period
Pageau
Staal
P1
54.1%
55.1%
P2
62.1%
54.7%
P3
61.8%
53.9%
OT
75.0%
70.0%
Final 5 min
63.1%
57.2%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.7%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
54.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2025 | 2 | 05:12 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |
| Oct 30, 2025 | 1 | 01:20 | Defensive | Jordan Staal |