Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Jordan Staal
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jordan Staal holds a +2.0% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on offensive-zone draws (75% H2H, 4 meetings). Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Staal shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Staal 56.8% (-2.0%)
H2H factor
Not applied (5 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Staal 56.9%
Defensive zone
Pageau 53.3%
Neutral zone
Staal 50.6%
Result
Jordan Staal favored at 54.8%
45.2%
54.8%
Pageau
Staal
Head-to-Head Record
4
-
1
(5 meetings)
4
1
Pageau
Staal
Last 5: Pageau 4-1 Staal
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
1
Pageau
Staal
4 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Staal
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Staal
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
58.9% (1,041)
-3.1%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
53.4% (73)
+3.2%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
49.1% (171)
+2.1%
On power play, Pageau has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Staal shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Staal is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (457).
Home / Away
Pageau
Staal
Home
57.1% (674)
59.0% (578)
Away
53.5% (678)
55.9% (707)
By Period
Pageau
Staal
P1
56.9%
57.1%
P2
54.5%
60.9%
P3
54.7%
55.8%
OT
52.9%
20.8%
Final 5 min
55.3%
60.5%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Staal
46.0%▼
51.0%
57.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 8, 2022 | 3 | 12:52 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 2 | 05:19 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Apr 8, 2022 | 1 | 05:11 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 2 | 03:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 14, 2021 | 1 | 13:53 | Offensive | Jordan Staal |