Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Leon Draisaitl
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on defensive-zone draws (80% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 56.3% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Draisaitl 53.2% (+1.9%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 59.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 58.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 52.2%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 54.9%
54.9%
45.1%
Pageau
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
2
-
5
(7 meetings)
2
5
Pageau
Draisaitl
Last 7: Pageau 2-5 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
1
Pageau
Draisaitl
1 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
4
Pageau
Draisaitl
5 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
Draisaitl
1 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
52.6% (1,124)
+3.2%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
58.4% (344)
-1.8%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
49.2% (193)
+2.0%
On even strength, Pageau has a +3.2% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Pageau is 56.3% vs left-shot opponents (983).
Pageau shoots right. Draisaitl is 57.7% vs right-shot opponents (619).
Home / Away
Pageau
Draisaitl
Home
57.1% (674)
55.5% (816)
Away
53.5% (678)
51.4% (845)
By Period
Pageau
Draisaitl
P1
56.9%
51.1%
P2
54.5%
51.6%
P3
54.7%
56.9%
OT
52.9%
57.1%
Final 5 min
55.3%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 11, 2022 | 3 | 17:17 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 3 | 13:34 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Feb 11, 2022 | 1 | 16:44 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 1, 2022 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 3 | 18:17 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 16:26 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 1, 2022 | 1 | 08:42 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |