Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Leon Draisaitl
All Seasons · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (86% H2H, 29 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 54.8% vs Draisaitl 53.3% (+1.5%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 49-43 in 92 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 71.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 82.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 58.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 58.7%
58.7%
41.3%
Pageau
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
49
-
43
(92 meetings)
49
43
Pageau
Draisaitl
Last 10: Pageau 9-1 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
4
25
Pageau
Draisaitl
29 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
26
10
Pageau
Draisaitl
36 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
19
8
Pageau
Draisaitl
27 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
55.7% (9,486)
52.9% (10,240)
+2.8%
Power Play
57.0% (1,002)
55.7% (2,827)
+1.3%
Penalty Kill
49.6% (2,069)
51.2% (977)
-1.6%
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (8,837).
Pageau shoots right. Draisaitl is 56.4% vs right-shot opponents (5,098).
Home / Away
Pageau
Draisaitl
Home
56.3% (6,214)
54.6% (7,049)
Away
53.4% (6,343)
52.0% (6,995)
By Period
Pageau
Draisaitl
P1
54.6%
52.7%
P2
56.3%
53.6%
P3
53.5%
53.4%
OT
54.4%
57.0%
Final 5 min
53.9%
52.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
54.8%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
53.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 14:51 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 02:13 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:32 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 2 | 18:42 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 18:02 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 17:56 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Jan 15, 2026 | 1 | 11:01 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 09:00 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 3 | 04:37 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 17:01 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 2 | 08:21 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 19:14 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Oct 16, 2025 | 1 | 17:20 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |