Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Leon Draisaitl
2023-24 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Leon Draisaitl holds a +1.5% FO% edge overall. Look for Draisaitl on offensive-zone draws (100% H2H, 5 meetings). Pageau wins 55.6% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs Draisaitl 56.5% (-1.5%)
H2H factor
Draisaitl leads 8-3 in 11 meetings
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 70.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 86.9%
Neutral zone
Pageau 62.9%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 54.4%
54.4%
45.6%
Pageau
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
3
-
8
(11 meetings)
3
8
Pageau
Draisaitl
Last 10: Pageau 3-7 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
5
Pageau
Draisaitl
5 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
1
Pageau
Draisaitl
3 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
1
2
Pageau
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
57.1% (905)
57.4% (1,010)
-0.3%
Power Play
55.2% (116)
56.2% (331)
-1.0%
Penalty Kill
48.0% (204)
54.5% (110)
-6.5%
On penalty kill, Draisaitl has a +6.5% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Pageau is 55.6% vs left-shot opponents (880).
Pageau shoots right. Draisaitl is 63.0% vs right-shot opponents (557).
Home / Away
Pageau
Draisaitl
Home
57.0% (618)
56.4% (734)
Away
53.9% (607)
57.5% (717)
By Period
Pageau
Draisaitl
P1
54.4%
55.6%
P2
61.0%
62.1%
P3
51.0%
52.4%
OT
50.0%
61.5%
Final 5 min
53.8%
55.6%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.4%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
56.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 11:47 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 3 | 08:24 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 14:26 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 2 | 13:41 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Dec 19, 2023 | 1 | 01:23 | Neutral | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 15:32 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:50 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 08:36 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 3 | 03:49 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 09:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 13, 2023 | 2 | 03:06 | Defensive | Leon Draisaitl |