Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Leon Draisaitl
2024-25 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +5.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (100% H2H, 3 meetings). Pageau wins 61.2% vs left-shot opponents — Draisaitl shoots left.
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 58.7% vs Draisaitl 54.0% (+5.3%)
H2H factor
Not applied (7 meetings, need 10+)
Offensive zone
Draisaitl 60.2%
Defensive zone
Pageau 87.6%
Neutral zone
Pageau 74.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 68.3%
68.3%
31.7%
Pageau
Draisaitl
Head-to-Head Record
5
-
2
(7 meetings)
5
2
Pageau
Draisaitl
Last 7: Pageau 5-2 Draisaitl
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Draisaitl
0
2
Pageau
Draisaitl
2 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
Draisaitl
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
3
0
Pageau
Draisaitl
3 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
Draisaitl
Edge
Even Strength
59.6% (711)
53.7% (923)
+5.9%
Power Play
64.0% (114)
56.1% (244)
+7.9%
Penalty Kill
56.4% (163)
58.6% (29)
-2.2%
On power play, Pageau has a +7.9% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
Draisaitl shoots left. Pageau is 61.2% vs left-shot opponents (763).
Pageau shoots right. Draisaitl is 59.1% vs right-shot opponents (399).
Home / Away
Pageau
Draisaitl
Home
59.3% (506)
55.2% (636)
Away
60.0% (482)
53.4% (560)
By Period
Pageau
Draisaitl
P1
56.8%
50.8%
P2
64.4%
56.6%
P3
56.9%
54.0%
OT
75.0%
67.9%
Final 5 min
61.1%
53.8%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
59.6%
Draisaitl
62.0%▬
61.0%
54.3%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2025 | OT | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 16:36 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 14, 2025 | 2 | 19:42 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:15 | Offensive | Leon Draisaitl |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 3 | 13:07 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 12, 2024 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |