Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nathan MacKinnon
2017-18 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.3% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (86% H2H, 7 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 51.1% vs MacKinnon 42.6% (+9.3%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 12-2 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 76.0%
Defensive zone
Pageau 93.3%
Neutral zone
Pageau 94.7%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 86.6%
86.6%
13.4%
Pageau
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
12
-
2
(14 meetings)
12
2
Pageau
MacKinnon
Last 10: Pageau 8-2 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
5
1
Pageau
MacKinnon
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
1
0
Pageau
MacKinnon
1 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
6
1
Pageau
MacKinnon
7 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
51.6% (896)
40.7% (953)
+10.9%
Power Play
49.2% (63)
51.4% (148)
-2.2%
Penalty Kill
50.0% (174)
36.4% (55)
+13.6%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +13.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Pageau is 50.5% vs right-shot opponents (384).
Pageau shoots right. MacKinnon is 38.4% vs right-shot opponents (349).
Home / Away
Pageau
MacKinnon
Home
51.2% (559)
42.1% (617)
Away
51.2% (574)
41.7% (540)
By Period
Pageau
MacKinnon
P1
50.4%
43.4%
P2
52.4%
40.9%
P3
51.0%
40.8%
OT
33.3%
55.0%
Final 5 min
49.7%
44.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
51.2%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
41.9%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 14:55 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 12:59 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 07:07 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 15:21 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 11:46 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 09:16 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 2 | 03:17 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 05:10 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 02:52 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 00:16 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 11, 2017 | 1 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 19:58 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Nov 10, 2017 | 1 | 10:04 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |