Jean-Gabriel Pageau vs Nathan MacKinnon
2021-22 · Faceoff Head-to-Head
Scouting Report
Jean-Gabriel Pageau holds a +9.9% FO% edge overall. Look for Pageau on neutral-zone draws (67% H2H, 6 meetings).
Prediction Breakdown
Model
XGBoost ML Model
Overall FO% (Bayesian)
Pageau 55.0% vs MacKinnon 45.9% (+9.9%)
H2H factor
Pageau leads 9-5 in 14 meetings
Offensive zone
Pageau 69.1%
Defensive zone
Pageau 85.8%
Neutral zone
Pageau 84.5%
Result
Jean-Gabriel Pageau favored at 78.1%
78.1%
21.9%
Pageau
MacKinnon
Head-to-Head Record
9
-
5
(14 meetings)
9
5
Pageau
MacKinnon
Last 10: Pageau 6-4 MacKinnon
Zone Breakdown
Offensive Zone
Even
3
3
Pageau
MacKinnon
6 total
Defensive Zone
Edge: Pageau
2
0
Pageau
MacKinnon
2 total
Neutral Zone
Edge: Pageau
4
2
Pageau
MacKinnon
6 total
Situation Matchup
Situation
Pageau
MacKinnon
Edge
Even Strength
55.8% (1,000)
45.8% (755)
+10.0%
Power Play
56.6% (182)
48.3% (60)
+8.3%
Penalty Kill
51.2% (170)
27.6% (29)
+23.6%
On penalty kill, Pageau has a +23.6% edge.
Handedness & Splits
Handedness
MacKinnon shoots right. Pageau is 52.8% vs right-shot opponents (369).
Pageau shoots right. MacKinnon is 48.1% vs right-shot opponents (208).
Home / Away
Pageau
MacKinnon
Home
57.1% (674)
49.5% (396)
Away
53.5% (678)
41.7% (448)
By Period
Pageau
MacKinnon
P1
56.9%
50.2%
P2
54.5%
43.8%
P3
54.7%
41.4%
OT
52.9%
66.7%
Final 5 min
55.3%
41.0%
Recent Form
Player
Last 50
Last 200
Career
Pageau
54.0%▼
57.5%
55.3%
MacKinnon
48.0%▼
54.0%
45.4%
Recent Faceoffs
| Date | Period | Time | Zone | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 18:55 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 02:53 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 19:13 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 10:18 | Neutral | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 07:38 | Offensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 18:54 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 7, 2022 | 1 | 15:30 | Defensive | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 03:41 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 3 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 04:04 | Offensive | Nathan MacKinnon |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 2 | 00:00 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |
| Mar 1, 2022 | 1 | 16:22 | Neutral | Jean-Gabriel Pageau |